Thesprotos vs AE Lefkimmi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
9º
15º
11º
30
11º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 76 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 52 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 50 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 10 |
17º
|
99% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 2 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thesprotos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
POF
0 - 3
THE
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
THE
1 - 1
ENK
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PIE
4 - 0
THE
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
THE
1 - 2
ASS
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 1
THE
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AE Lefkimmi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
AEL
1 - 1
AST
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AEL
3 - 0
POF
38%
24%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ENK
2 - 0
AEL
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AEL
0 - 2
PIE
20%
24%
56%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ASS
3 - 2
AEL
60%
20%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |