Thesprotos vs AE Kileler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
9º
15º
11º
50
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 76 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 52 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 50 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 10 |
17º
|
99% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 2 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thesprotos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NEA
2 - 1
THE
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
THE
2 - 0
AST
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
THE
1 - 3
AEL
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
POF
0 - 3
THE
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
THE
1 - 1
ENK
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AE Kileler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 0
AEL
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
POF
0 - 3
KIL
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
ENK
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
PIE
1 - 0
KIL
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 0
ASS
22%
21%
58%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +3 |