Thespa Gunma vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
FAG
1 - 2
THE
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
THE
0 - 5
GAI
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
TOK
3 - 0
THE
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
THE
1 - 2
MIT
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
THE
0 - 0
EHI
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 1
KYO
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
TOC
0 - 0
SAG
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
SAG
0 - 1
KAT
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
ROA
0 - 0
SAG
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 2
TOC
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |