Thespa Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
JEF
2 - 1
THE
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
THE
0 - 3
YOK
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
THE
0 - 1
EHI
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
TOK
1 - 0
THE
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
THE
3 - 2
TOC
61%
23%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Roasso Kumamoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ROA
1 - 0
GIF
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FAG
0 - 0
ROA
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TOK
1 - 2
ROA
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ROA
1 - 1
JEF
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
VEN
2 - 1
ROA
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |