Thespa Gunma vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
52.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
THE
2 - 3
ROA
30%
28%
43%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 0
THE
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FAG
0 - 1
THE
52%
27%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
THE
0 - 0
TOK
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 0
THE
63%
23%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
OIT
1 - 1
BLA
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FAG
1 - 0
OIT
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
OIT
3 - 3
CER
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
OIT
1 - 2
ROA
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
OIT
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |