Thespa Gunma vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
THE
4 - 2
GIF
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JEF
2 - 3
THE
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
THE
0 - 1
FAG
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ROA
1 - 0
THE
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
GAI
1 - 1
THE
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Giravanz Kitakyushu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
GIR
0 - 0
SHO
39%
26%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 2
GIR
49%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
GIF
0 - 1
GIR
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GIR
3 - 2
GIF
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FCT
2 - 0
GIR
80%
15%
5%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |