Thermal Abano vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thermal Abano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MEZ
2 - 4
THE
44%
23%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
THE
0 - 1
ASL
28%
26%
47%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 2
THE
60%
21%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
THE
0 - 1
FOR
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAS
0 - 1
THE
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAC
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
CLO
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
RIC
4 - 2
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
FOR
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |