The Strongest vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
OPE
4 - 1
STR
46%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
RPO
2 - 3
STR
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
STR
1 - 2
ATM
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 1
STR
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
STR
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
COR
49%
27%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
PAU
0 - 2
SAO
11%
21%
68%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
BRA
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAO
13%
21%
66%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 2
OES
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |