The Strongest vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
STR
4 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 0
STR
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
STR
5 - 0
OPE
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
STR
2 - 2
NAC
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 1
STR
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
OPE
4 - 1
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
OPE
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
STR
5 - 0
OPE
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OPE
2 - 1
AUR
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
LAP
1 - 0
OPE
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |