The Strongest vs Olimpia analysis


70	ELO	78
11.8%	Tilt	9.7%
1522º	General ELO ranking	790º
4º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

35.8%

The Strongest

24.9%

Draw

39.3%

Olimpia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

35.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%

24.9%

Draw

0-0

5.7%

1-1

11.7%

2-2

6%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.9%

39.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

The Strongest

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
04 Aug. 2011	OLI 2 - 0 STR 63% 20% 17%	70	78	8	0
29 May. 2011	UNI 2 - 1 STR 37% 27% 37%	71	66	5	-1
22 May. 2011	STR 1 - 3 AUR 58% 23% 19%	71	68	3	0
19 May. 2011	SAN 2 - 1 STR 47% 25% 28%	72	70	2	-1
15 May. 2011	STR 4 - 0 BLO 57% 23% 20%	71	69	2	+1

Matches

Olimpia

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
07 Aug. 2011	OLI 4 - 0 SAN 78% 16% 7%	78	63	15
04 Aug. 2011	OLI 2 - 0 STR 63% 20% 17%	78	70	8
30 Jul. 2011	GUA 3 - 4 OLI 39% 28% 34%	78	75	3
05 Jun. 2011	SAN 3 - 2 OLI 24% 27% 49%	78	62	16
29 May. 2011	OLI 2 - 2 LIB 50% 26% 24%	78	80	2