Copa Libertadores Qualifying Round Last 16
Global 2-2
The Strongest vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
STR
4 - 1
AUR
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
STR
2 - 1
ATP
37%
23%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STR
1 - 1
SBW
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
STR
2 - 1
RPO
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 3
STR
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
UCH
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
GAR
0 - 2
DEF
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 1
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |