The Strongest vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
2º
0
1º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 37 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 37 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 33 |
3º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 32 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 23 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 22 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 21 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 21 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 21 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 20 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 17 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 16 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 9 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
83% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
15% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana qualifying phase
|
2% | 42.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DGV
0 - 4
STR
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
STR
2 - 0
NAC
49%
23%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
BLO
3 - 1
STR
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
BAH
3 - 0
STR
73%
17%
11%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
STR
1 - 1
BAH
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AUR
2 - 0
ABB
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
5 - 2
AUR
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AUR
5 - 1
OPE
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
AUR
0 - 1
DGV
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
STR
4 - 0
AUR
50%
22%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |