The Strongest vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2018 |
STR
8 - 0
BLO
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 3
STR
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
STR
6 - 0
SBW
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 1
STR
15%
25%
61%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
STR
0 - 1
AUR
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 0
AUR
33%
25%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
AUR
5 - 0
DES
43%
26%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 0
AUR
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
STR
0 - 1
AUR
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
AUR
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |