The Strongest vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
STR
3 - 5
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
STR
9 - 1
REA
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 1
STR
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
STR
6 - 2
LAP
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
STR
2 - 1
OLI
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
5 - 2
NAC
34%
26%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
NAC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
LAP
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
REA
0 - 2
AUR
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
AUR
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |