UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 1-2
The New Saints vs Fehérvár analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
TNS
4 - 1
B36
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2015 |
B36
1 - 2
TNS
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
NEW
69%
17%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
TNS
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 0
TNS
37%
25%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
FHV
0 - 3
FTC
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
FHV
2 - 1
ZOR
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2015 |
WOL
2 - 1
FHV
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
FTC
2 - 0
FHV
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FHV
1 - 0
KTE
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |