The New Saints vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
TNS
0 - 2
HÄC
34%
22%
44%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HÄC
3 - 1
TNS
72%
16%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
TNS
11%
16%
73%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
TNS
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 1
TNS
16%
19%
65%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
JEU
0 - 1
SWI
25%
23%
52%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SWI
0 - 2
SBR
43%
23%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SBR
1 - 1
SWI
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 2
SWI
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
JEU
1 - 1
SWI
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |