The New Saints vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
94.2%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
6.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.8%
5-0
10.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
+5
12.8%
4-0
14%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.8%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.5%
1.1%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
5 - 1
HAV
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
TNS
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
HIB
0 - 3
TNS
4%
9%
88%
|
69 | 20 | 49 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
6 - 0
ABE
81%
13%
7%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
TNS
15%
22%
63%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
GFC
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 3
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 1
POR
67%
18%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
GUI
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AIR
2 - 1
POR
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |