The New Saints vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
TNS
0 - 2
LLA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
POR
1 - 2
TNS
22%
24%
53%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
TNS
4 - 1
ABE
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
POR
2 - 1
TNS
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TNS
4 - 0
CWM
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
AIR
1 - 1
POR
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
POR
1 - 2
TNS
22%
24%
53%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
CEF
3 - 0
POR
37%
26%
36%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
POR
2 - 2
CAE
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
HAV
1 - 1
POR
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |