The New Saints vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
2º
1º
13
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 3
TNS
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 5
TNS
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
4 - 1
POR
94%
5%
1%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
5 - 1
HAV
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
TNS
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
NEW
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 0
PON
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
PON
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
BAL
25%
26%
50%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
PON
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |