The New Saints vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
6º
1º
20
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 5
TNS
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AAA
1 - 1
TNS
4%
9%
87%
|
69 | 35 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
TNS
4 - 1
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
TNS
6 - 2
FLI
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
TNS
0 - 3
DUN
63%
19%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
PON
1 - 4
NEW
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CTF
1 - 2
PON
5%
12%
84%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PON
3 - 1
CAE
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
PON
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
PON
64%
23%
13%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |