Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 0-1
The New Saints vs Petrocub Hîncești analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
TNS
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TNS
5 - 1
FLI
65%
17%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
TNS
1 - 2
FTC
39%
22%
40%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
FTC
5 - 0
TNS
58%
21%
22%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TNS
1 - 1
MAC
84%
10%
6%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Petrocub Hîncești
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
TNS
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
APO
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
APO
1 - 0
PET
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
ORD
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ORD
0 - 0
PET
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |