The New Saints vs Neath Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LLA
0 - 1
TNS
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
TNS
2 - 1
PRE
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
TNS
24%
27%
49%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
TNS
1 - 1
BAL
88%
9%
3%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
MID
5 - 2
TNS
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NEA
3 - 0
AIR
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
LID
1 - 0
NEA
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
NEA
2 - 0
BAN
37%
24%
39%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
NEA
4 - 2
ABE
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
NEA
0 - 8
BET
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |