The New Saints vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
TNS
17%
22%
62%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 4
TNS
26%
24%
49%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
TNS
2 - 1
PRE
87%
9%
4%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
TNS
3 - 2
NEW
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 1
TNS
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 2
LLA
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 2
BAL
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 2
NEA
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 2
LLA
18%
23%
60%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
NEA
4 - 2
LLA
46%
23%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |