The New Saints vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
PRE
0 - 2
TNS
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 2
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 2
TNS
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAR
87%
9%
3%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 2
ABE
87%
10%
4%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 1
AIR
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
LID
0 - 0
LLA
8%
19%
73%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 1
BAN
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 0
ABE
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PRE
0 - 2
LLA
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |