The New Saints vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
RHY
1 - 2
TNS
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
TNS
2 - 2
BAN
57%
22%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
HAV
1 - 4
TNS
14%
23%
63%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 3
TNS
19%
25%
57%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 2
TNS
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CEF
1 - 4
LLA
15%
19%
67%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 2
PRE
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 0
LLA
13%
21%
66%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
LLA
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 2
LLA
22%
24%
53%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |