The New Saints vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
TNS
2 - 3
NEA
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
PRE
0 - 2
TNS
29%
27%
45%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 0
TNS
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
TNS
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LLA
0 - 2
TNS
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
LLA
3 - 0
PRE
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 5
LLA
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 0
TNS
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
LLA
4 - 0
NEA
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LLA
0 - 2
TNS
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |