The New Saints vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NEA
2 - 2
TNS
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TNS
0 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 4
TNS
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
TNS
2 - 2
NEW
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
TNS
5 - 2
BAN
63%
20%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
LLA
8 - 1
ABE
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LLA
4 - 0
CEF
87%
9%
4%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
NEA
2 - 1
LLA
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
ABE
2 - 2
LLA
26%
22%
52%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LLA
2 - 0
BAL
83%
12%
6%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |