The New Saints vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
TNS
2 - 3
CAR
59%
20%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 5
TNS
14%
22%
64%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
TNS
1 - 1
NEW
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 1
CEF
82%
13%
6%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
TNS
3 - 1
WEL
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
LLA
22%
21%
57%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
LLA
4 - 1
WEL
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
LLA
3 - 0
ABE
69%
18%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
AIR
0 - 4
LLA
15%
20%
66%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
LLA
5 - 2
CAR
68%
18%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |