The New Saints vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2002 |
NEW
0 - 1
TNS
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
CWM
0 - 4
TNS
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2002 |
RHA
0 - 1
TNS
13%
21%
66%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
TNS
1 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2002 |
BAN
3 - 0
TNS
55%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
CEF
0 - 1
LLA
55%
21%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2002 |
BAR
2 - 0
LLA
79%
13%
8%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
LLA
1 - 1
CON
27%
24%
48%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2002 |
LLA
3 - 4
HAV
56%
22%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
CAE
4 - 5
LLA
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |