Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 3-2
The New Saints vs Lincoln Red Imps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
TNS
4 - 0
SHK
45%
22%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
SHK
5 - 0
TNS
46%
22%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
TNS
2 - 0
FAL
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
TNS
3 - 3
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
TNS
3 - 1
CON
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +3 |
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
LRI
1 - 4
FCD
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 2
LRI
36%
22%
43%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
LRI
0 - 3
JOS
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
MON
0 - 6
LRI
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LRI
7 - 1
LIO
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |