The New Saints vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
TNS
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 1
TNS
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 1
POR
64%
20%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RHY
0 - 0
TNS
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 2
HOL
23%
23%
53%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
BUC
1 - 4
HOL
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
HOL
2 - 1
BUC
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HOL
3 - 1
GUI
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
HOL
2 - 1
FLI
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |