The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
2º
1º
51
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 14 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
ABE
0 - 1
TNS
20%
20%
61%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
BAL
0 - 2
TNS
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TNS
5 - 0
AIR
60%
18%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
CAE
0 - 1
TNS
47%
23%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TNS
4 - 0
PEN
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CAE
1 - 1
HAV
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
0 - 0
HAV
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
HAV
3 - 2
BAL
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 1
HAV
42%
26%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |