The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TNS
5 - 0
ABE
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
AIR
2 - 2
TNS
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BAN
4 - 3
TNS
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
TNS
6 - 1
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
TNS
2 - 0
AIR
71%
17%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
HAV
1 - 2
BAN
14%
21%
64%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
ABE
3 - 0
HAV
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
POR
3 - 0
HAV
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
HAV
0 - 4
LLA
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
HAV
4 - 0
AIR
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |