The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
POR
2 - 2
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
PRE
1 - 4
TNS
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
TNS
0 - 0
LLA
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
TNS
2 - 3
CAR
59%
20%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 5
TNS
14%
22%
64%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
HAV
3 - 1
WEL
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
AIR
2 - 4
HAV
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 3
RHY
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 0
HAV
29%
25%
47%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
HAV
0 - 2
BAN
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |