The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
TNS
2 - 0
RHY
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
TNS
1 - 2
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
TNS
0 - 2
LLA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
POR
1 - 2
TNS
22%
24%
53%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
TNS
4 - 1
ABE
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
HAV
0 - 1
CEF
72%
18%
9%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 4
HAV
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
WEL
0 - 0
HAV
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HAV
3 - 2
NEW
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
RHY
3 - 2
HAV
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |