The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
CEF
1 - 3
TNS
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
TNS
3 - 0
NEW
59%
22%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
CON
0 - 7
TNS
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
TNS
1 - 1
BAN
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
POR
1 - 2
TNS
25%
25%
51%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
HAV
3 - 1
POR
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
CWM
0 - 2
HAV
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
LID
0 - 1
HAV
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
HAV
1 - 1
CEF
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
NEW
3 - 0
HAV
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |