UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 1-5
The New Saints vs Häcken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
44.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HÄC
3 - 1
TNS
72%
16%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
TNS
11%
16%
73%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
TNS
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 1
TNS
16%
19%
65%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 4
TNS
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Häcken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
HÄC
4 - 2
BRO
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HÄC
3 - 1
TNS
72%
16%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
AIK
1 - 2
HÄC
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 2
HÄC
40%
25%
36%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
HÄC
0 - 1
DJU
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |