The New Saints vs Grange Quins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.3%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
3.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
TNS
1 - 1
POR
77%
15%
9%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 2
TNS
13%
22%
66%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
TNS
2 - 0
LLA
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
RHY
1 - 2
TNS
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
TNS
2 - 2
BAN
57%
22%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grange Quins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
BRI
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
TAT
0 - 2
GRA
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
PRE
3 - 0
GRA
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
GRA
2 - 3
BAN
21%
23%
57%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
CON
1 - 0
GRA
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |