The New Saints vs Grange Quins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
TNS
4 - 0
LEX
81%
13%
7%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
CEF
0 - 6
TNS
19%
23%
59%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
TNS
5 - 0
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
AIR
0 - 5
TNS
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
TNS
1 - 0
CWM
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grange Quins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
GRA
0 - 5
WEL
49%
24%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
GRA
4 - 1
CAE
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
NEW
5 - 0
GRA
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
GRA
1 - 0
HAV
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
RHY
5 - 2
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |