The New Saints vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
SHK
2 - 1
TNS
37%
22%
40%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
TNS
0 - 0
SHK
66%
17%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
NEW
1 - 0
TNS
39%
22%
39%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
AYR
1 - 1
TNS
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
LAR
2 - 2
TNS
41%
24%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
DIF
2 - 3
FCD
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
FCD
1 - 0
DIF
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
LOU
0 - 0
DIF
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
UNA
1 - 2
DIF
44%
24%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
DIF
2 - 2
F91
35%
23%
42%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |