The New Saints vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
92
1º
1º
1º
59
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
92 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 5
TNS
36%
25%
38%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
TNS
4 - 1
BAL
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
TNS
7 - 1
CAE
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 6
TNS
41%
23%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TNS
1 - 2
AIR
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
BAL
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
CON
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
NEW
48%
24%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
BAL
44%
23%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
CON
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |