The New Saints vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
2º
1º
47
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
70%
17%
13%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 2
TNS
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
TNS
1 - 1
SWI
52%
21%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
TNS
0 - 2
HÄC
34%
22%
44%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HÄC
3 - 1
TNS
72%
16%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
CON
0 - 2
KAA
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
KAA
2 - 0
CON
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
STR
1 - 1
CON
15%
22%
63%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
GUI
74%
18%
9%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |