The New Saints vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
80
1º
6º
1º
61
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
TNS
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 5
TNS
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 5
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TNS
7 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
TNS
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
PEN
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
CON
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
TNS
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |