The New Saints vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 3
TNS
13%
19%
68%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
RHY
2 - 2
TNS
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
TNS
2 - 1
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
TNS
1 - 1
ABE
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 5
TNS
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CON
5 - 3
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
CEF
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
55%
23%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
BAN
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CON
3 - 1
PRE
55%
21%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |