The New Saints vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
TNS
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
TNS
2 - 1
POR
72%
18%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
BAN
1 - 2
TNS
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
TNS
6 - 0
CAE
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ABE
5 - 1
TNS
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
CON
1 - 0
AIR
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
HAV
6 - 2
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
NEW
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
CON
0 - 3
BAN
48%
23%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 1
CON
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |