The New Saints vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
LLA
1 - 0
TNS
40%
23%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAE
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
BAN
2 - 3
TNS
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
TNS
1 - 0
POR
68%
19%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
TNS
7 - 0
POR
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
CON
2 - 0
WEL
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LLA
2 - 0
CON
72%
17%
12%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
CON
2 - 1
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
CON
1 - 1
HAV
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
RHY
2 - 1
CON
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |