The New Saints vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 1
TNS
13%
19%
68%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TNS
0 - 0
BAL
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 1
PEN
87%
10%
4%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | -9 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 4
TNS
10%
17%
73%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 3
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
CEF
2 - 4
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 1
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
4 - 1
CEF
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
FLI
1 - 2
CEF
36%
27%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |