The New Saints vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 4
TNS
11%
19%
69%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 1
TNS
22%
24%
55%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CWM
0 - 3
TNS
5%
10%
85%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
TNS
1 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 1
TNS
6%
12%
83%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 2
CEF
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 2
CON
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
YWF
1 - 3
CEF
7%
14%
79%
|
59 | 20 | 39 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 2
BAL
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 0
CEF
27%
26%
48%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |