The New Saints vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAL
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
TNS
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
TNS
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TNS
1 - 2
DUM
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
CEF
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
CEF
0 - 2
BAN
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
CEF
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
CEF
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 2
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |