The New Saints vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
TNS
1 - 1
LIV
52%
22%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
TNS
15%
21%
64%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAL
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
BAN
5 - 2
TNS
39%
24%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
TNS
1 - 5
RIJ
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
AIR
3 - 2
CEF
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
CEF
2 - 0
ABE
50%
23%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
CEF
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 3
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
CEF
1 - 3
WRE
71%
18%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |